Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.200794 0.232907 0.270285 0.317447 0.375998 0.447148 0.541473
2025-02-16 0.152078 0.192038 0.244260 0.319351 0.427799 0.584258 0.838300
2025-02-23 0.124099 0.166411 0.226560 0.322152 0.478281 0.739945 1.255579
2025-03-02 0.105574 0.148120 0.212638 0.323724 0.524929 0.910480 1.827831
2025-03-09 0.091767 0.133374 0.199784 0.321885 0.563460 1.085836 2.580719
2025-03-16 0.080560 0.120390 0.186621 0.315135 0.589223 1.249429 3.507802
2025-03-23 0.074227 0.114089 0.183206 0.325111 0.653406 1.547490 5.364159
2025-03-30 0.066872 0.104891 0.172856 0.318392 0.676813 1.754452 7.347058
2025-04-06 0.062139 0.099552 0.168618 0.323348 0.731646 2.107882 11.262543
2025-04-13 0.057148 0.093080 0.161115 0.319152 0.760570 2.402356 16.247427
2025-04-20 0.053844 0.089288 0.158285 0.325157 0.822551 2.903904 27.062342
2025-04-27 0.051224 0.086451 0.156932 0.334457 0.900418 3.593361 50.462589
2025-05-04 0.048571 0.083320 0.154646 0.341364 0.977061 4.430823 103.886840
2025-05-11 0.046360 0.080828 0.153416 0.351062 1.072035 5.612796 272.445730
2025-05-18 0.044084 0.077952 0.150901 0.356627 1.156106 6.971853 894.300253
2025-05-25 0.041849 0.074926 0.147609 0.359165 1.230785 8.533816 4678.401085
2025-06-01 0.039585 0.071618 0.143205 0.357282 1.285653 10.153978 74880.876982
2025-06-08 0.037234 0.067914 0.137386 0.349614 1.308648 11.543609 NaN
2025-06-15 0.036060 0.066635 0.137357 0.361072 1.444140 15.530059 NaN
2025-06-22 0.034078 0.063416 0.132059 0.353374 1.466888 17.761821 NaN
2025-06-29 0.032857 0.061782 0.130629 0.359058 1.578482 23.227790 NaN
2025-07-06 0.031291 0.059246 0.126551 0.354248 1.620591 27.563736 NaN
2025-07-13 0.030307 0.057956 0.125632 0.361134 1.753006 37.606568 NaN